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Monday, September 3, 2007

My broker's update of the day.

Daily Updates

US Dow Jones* +119.01
US NASDAQ* +31.06
Nikkei -28.61
STI Slightly up to Flat
HSI

*- Closing Figures

Morning,

US markets closed higher on the month as comments by Bush and Ben coupled with decent factory goods order helped push the market higher ahead of the long weekend. Bush suggested some plans to help homeowners who have overextended themselves on the mortgage sage. However Fed was more abstract, it didn’t say he was going to neither cut rates nor imply he’s not cutting rates, just that he will take the necessary actions needed. Investors took no news as good news and rallied. Though the Fed probably doesn’t want to cut rates, it might have to due to pressure from various sectors and fear of a recession, but I would not be surprised if he cut discount rates again instead of a rate cut.

Locally we rallied in anticipation of US, as news of Bush speech leaked out. Some counters to note is Labroy which dipped to 1.98, simply said for those who wish to buy on dip make sure its at the support ard 1.80 or so, if not your not getting a good buy. ML also recommended some blue-chip counters like Cosco, Kep Corp and SIA and downplayed Chartered, M1 and SPC.

So what’s my view? With US on holiday tonight and we rallied last week on US, today’s supposed gain was already factored in last week. We should open on a high note and maybe end slightly higher or flat unless we can get some catalyst to push us up further.

For those who have sold, don’t worry and hold jump into the frenzy again. I continue my stance on selling now and buying in Oct mainly what was said last week in US would take a long time to implement but the losses have already occurred and we’re just waiting for them to announce it.

Conclusion, sell on strength for now and try not to over expose your position, hold 50% cash and wait for Oct. If you wish to contra, then wait for dips like last Thursday and sell on strength like last Friday.

Trading plays –

News Headlines


Cosco, KepCorp, SIA top Merrill's Sept choice list

Harvard economist warns of recession, urges rate cut

SIA, Temasek buy 24% stake in China Eastern

CDOs unlikely to hit DBS Bank rating: S&P

DBS Indonesia loses primary dealer licence

CitySpring completes A$1.2b purchase of Basslink

China EnerSave plans $29.5m rights issue

MacCook PSF profit jumps 136%

MI-Reit to buy warehouse for $18.3m

Poh Tiong Choon unit sells land for $6.9m

WesTech places 22.9m shares to raise $6.7m

Rotary buys 40% of M'sian firm

OSIM ups stake in Global Active

S'pore Q2 services sector rises 15.6%

S'pore central bank raises 2007 CPI outlook to 1-2%

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